China’s hot rolled market maintains climbing trend

Tuesday, 24 November 2009 07:57:02 (GMT+3) |

Boosted by the increased ex-factory prices of leading mills and the ascension of thesteel futuresmarket, the hot rolled market inChinahas remained on an upward trend throughout the past week.

Product name

Specification

Category

Average price

(RMB/mt)

Weekly change (RMB/mt)

Price

($/mt)

HR

5.75 mmx 1,500 mm

Q235B

3,760

+63

551

HR

2.75 mmx 1,250 mm

Q235B

3,907

+64

573

In the past week most traders in the domestic market were active in raising their prices. In spite of the climbing market prices, there has not yet been any obvious release of end-side demand; some briskness has been observed as regards conclusion of deals at lower prices, while slackness has been seen at higher levels. However, since overallproductionhas been affected by the overhauling works recently carried out by some mills, market supply is unlikely to soar sharply in the near future, thus providing significant support for the market. As regards the future, some traders have stated that, with no big change observed in the macroeconomic situation, the market will maintain its uptrend in the short term.

Hot rolled inventory inChina's leading markets has indicated an uptrend during the past week. According to the latest figures, total hot rolled inventory inChina's leading markets stands at 3.84336 million mt, up 35,990 mt week on week and up 167.35 percent year on year. Moreover, hot rolled inventory in Shanghai amounted to 1.36396 million mt on November 19, up 33,060 mt compared with the level on November 12.

Following the new price policies issued byBaosteelandWISCOin the previous week, many other mills have also made upward adjustments in the range of RMB 30-350/mt ($4-51/mt) to their hot rolled prices in the past week. Currently, the ex-factory prices of 5.75 mm Q235HRCfromChina's major mills are at around RMB 3,700-3,800/mt ($543-557/mt) for December shipment, including17 percent VAT ($1 = RMB 6.82).

On the export side, the mainstream export quotations of ChineseHRCare now in the range of $500-510/mt FOB, up $10/mt week on week, with quotations even up to $520-530/mt FOB according to some mills.

Overall, with room still available for a further rise in the local hot rolled market, ChineseHRCprices are expected to fluctuate on an upward trend in the coming week.


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